Tropical Depression Cristobal Forecast Advisory Number 13

By | June 4, 2020

Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUN 04 2020


000
WTNT23 KNHC 042039
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020
2100 UTC THU JUN 04 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CRISTOBAL.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND A
STORM SURGE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE AREA TONIGHT
OR FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  90.8W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  90.8W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  90.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.4N  90.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.1N  90.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.9N  90.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.8N  90.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...210NE 180SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.6N  90.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...210NE 180SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.5N  90.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 31.0N  92.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 34.0N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N  90.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

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