Subtropical Storm Melissa Forecast Advisory Number 2

By | October 11, 2019

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 11 2019


000
WTNT24 KNHC 112031
TCMAT4

SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142019
2100 UTC FRI OCT 11 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR INFORMATION ON WIND AND COASTAL FLOODING HAZARDS...SEE PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT
WEATHER.GOV.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N  69.5W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OR 150 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
34 KT.......300NE  60SE 180SW 210NW.
12 FT SEAS..900NE 240SE 480SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N  69.5W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.2N  69.7W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 38.0N  68.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE  60SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 38.3N  66.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 38.8N  63.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 39.2N  60.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 40.7N  52.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N  69.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO


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