Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

By | June 29, 2022

000
FONT12 KNHC 291456
PWSAT2

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022022               
1500 UTC WED JUN 29 2022                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                     

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

BLUEFIELDS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  24(25)   X(25)   X(25)
BLUEFIELDS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
BLUEFIELDS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

SAN ANDRES     34  X   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)  21(45)   X(45)   X(45)
SAN ANDRES     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   X(11)   X(11)
SAN ANDRES     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

LIMON          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

PT GALLINAS    34  3  38(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)

CURACAO        34 60   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    

Leave a Reply