Potential Tropical Cyclone Four Forecast Advisory Number 1

By | August 19, 2022

000
WTNT24 KNHC 192051
TCMAT4

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042022
2100 UTC FRI AUG 19 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM BOCA DE CATAN NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH
OF THE RIO GRANDE RIVER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST
FROM PORT MANSFIELD SOUTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE RIVER.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM BOCA DE CATAN NORTHWARD TO THE
MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE RIVER
* THE LOWER TEXAS COAST FROM PORT MANSFIELD SOUTHWARD TO THE MOUTH
OF THE RIO GRANDE RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  94.5W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  94.5W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  94.0W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 22.0N  95.6W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 23.8N  96.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 25.6N  98.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 27.1N  99.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N  94.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 20/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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