Potential Tropical Cyclone Fifteen Forecast Advisory Number 2

By | October 19, 2024

000
WTNT25 KNHC 190236
TCMAT5

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152024
0300 UTC SAT OCT 19 2024

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  86.1W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  86.1W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  85.6W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.5N  87.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.3N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N  86.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART


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