Post-Tropical Cyclone Olga Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3

By | October 26, 2019

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019


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FONT12 KNHC 260251
PWSAT2
                                                                    
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172019               
0300 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
JACKSON MS     34 21  13(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34 83   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34 81   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34 17   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CAMERON LA     34 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ZELINSKY                                                 

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