Hurricane Lorenzo Forecast Advisory Number 37

By | October 1, 2019

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 01 2019


000
WTNT23 KNHC 011453
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
1500 UTC TUE OCT 01 2019
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORES...CORVO...FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...GRACIOSA...TERCEIRA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO MIGUEL...SANTA MARIA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N  37.9W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT.......170NE 170SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT.......270NE 300SE 240SW 220NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 480SE 480SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N  37.9W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.3N  39.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.0N  34.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
50 KT...150NE 170SE 150SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 240SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 42.8N  28.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 110NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 240SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 48.5N  21.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW  90NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 270SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 53.5N  16.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  80SE  80SW  30NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 150SW  80NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 56.0N   7.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 200SE 220SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N  37.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 01/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

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