Hurricane Lorenzo Forecast Advisory Number 21

By | September 27, 2019

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 27 2019


000
WTNT23 KNHC 272034
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
2100 UTC FRI SEP 27 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  43.6W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT.......150NE 130SE  50SW 130NW.
34 KT.......230NE 220SE 120SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 360SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  43.6W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  43.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.6N  44.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...150NE 130SE  50SW 130NW.
34 KT...230NE 220SE 120SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 23.3N  44.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT...140NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 25.0N  44.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  35NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 26.6N  43.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.3N  41.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 160SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 35.5N  36.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 44.0N  26.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N  43.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

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