Hurricane Lorenzo Forecast Advisory Number 10

By | September 25, 2019

Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 25 2019


000
WTNT23 KNHC 250855
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
0900 UTC WED SEP 25 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  33.9W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  30SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  33.9W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  33.2W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.0N  36.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.7N  38.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE  90SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.9N  40.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.5N  41.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.1N  44.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 24.0N  45.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 27.4N  43.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N  33.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/RAMOS


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