Hurricane Isaac Forecast Advisory Number 6

By | September 27, 2024

000
WTNT25 KNHC 270850
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102024
0900 UTC FRI SEP 27 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  48.5W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 150SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  48.5W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  49.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 37.5N  45.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 38.8N  42.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 40.4N  39.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  55SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.8N  37.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 55NE  60SE  55SW  50NW.
34 KT...190NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 43.1N  35.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  55SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...190NE 130SE 110SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 44.0N  34.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE  35SW  30NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 46.9N  30.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...190NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 50.4N  26.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...190NE 180SE  80SW   0NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.0N  48.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN


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