Hurricane Fiona Wind Speed Probabilities Number 38

By | September 23, 2022

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FONT12 KNHC 232055
PWSAT2

HURRICANE FIONA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  38                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022               
2100 UTC FRI SEP 23 2022                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
39.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.                                       

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X  17(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

ILE ST PIERRE  34 30  39(69)   2(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

BURGEO NFLD    34 24  61(85)   3(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X  21(21)   6(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

PTX BASQUES    34 32  66(98)   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PTX BASQUES    50  X  68(68)  10(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
PTX BASQUES    64  X  34(34)  11(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)

EDDY POINT NS  34 95   5(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
EDDY POINT NS  50 25  66(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
EDDY POINT NS  64  1  43(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)

SYDNEY NS      34 82  18(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SYDNEY NS      50  9  88(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
SYDNEY NS      64  X  83(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)

SABLE ISLAND   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SABLE ISLAND   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SABLE ISLAND   64 94   2(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)

HALIFAX NS     34 69   8(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
HALIFAX NS     50  6   6(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

YARMOUTH NS    34  7   7(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

MONCTON NB     34  4  19(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

ST JOHN NB     34  4   6(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

EASTPORT ME    34  4   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    

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