Hurricane Fiona Wind Speed Probabilities Number 37

By | September 23, 2022

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FONT12 KNHC 231439
PWSAT2

HURRICANE FIONA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022               
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD         
1500 UTC FRI SEP 23 2022                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
35.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.                                       

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   5( 5)  16(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X  57(57)  12(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X  65(65)  23(88)   1(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   6( 6)  31(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

PTX BASQUES    34  X  74(74)  22(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
PTX BASQUES    50  X  19(19)  58(77)   2(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   2( 2)  44(46)   1(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)

EDDY POINT NS  34  4  92(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X  80(80)   3(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X  36(36)   9(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)

SYDNEY NS      34  1  96(97)   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SYDNEY NS      50  X  81(81)  12(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
SYDNEY NS      64  X  52(52)  25(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)

SABLE ISLAND   34 48  52(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SABLE ISLAND   50  1  95(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X  86(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)

HALIFAX NS     34  7  59(66)   1(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
HALIFAX NS     50  X  15(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

YARMOUTH NS    34  5   9(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

MONCTON NB     34  X  20(20)   7(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

ST JOHN NB     34  X  12(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

EASTPORT ME    34  X  10(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

BERMUDA        34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/SNELL                                         

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