Hurricane Fiona Forecast Advisory Number 31

By | September 22, 2022

000
WTNT22 KNHC 220247
TCMAT2

HURRICANE FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
0300 UTC THU SEP 22 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN ATLANTIC CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.  WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC CANADA
TOMORROW MORNING.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  71.2W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  934 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 55NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 110SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  71.2W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  71.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 28.2N  70.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 120SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 30.9N  68.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 130SE  90SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 180SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 34.8N  65.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 100SE  70SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 260SE 230SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 40.7N  61.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 110SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...150NE 180SE 140SW 150NW.
34 KT...270NE 290SE 260SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 45.7N  61.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.
34 KT...270NE 290SE 260SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 48.5N  61.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...220NE 260SE 210SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 54.9N  59.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 62.2N  58.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N  71.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 22/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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