Hurricane Fiona Forecast Advisory Number 30

By | September 21, 2022

000
WTNT22 KNHC 212037
TCMAT2

HURRICANE FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
2100 UTC WED SEP 21 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN ATLANTIC CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.  WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC CANADA 
TOMORROW MORNING.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N  71.5W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  937 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  90SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 170SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N  71.5W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  71.6W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 27.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 190SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 29.5N  69.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 32.6N  66.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 150SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 37.4N  63.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 43.5N  61.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 200SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 47.0N  61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 270SW 220NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 52.5N  60.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 60.0N  59.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N  71.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 22/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


Leave a Reply