Hurricane Fiona Forecast Advisory Number 26

By | September 20, 2022

000
WTNT22 KNHC 202053
TCMAT2

HURRICANE FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
2100 UTC TUE SEP 20 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  71.8W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  71.8W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  71.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 23.6N  72.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 25.0N  71.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 26.9N  71.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 29.4N  70.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 32.4N  67.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 36.9N  63.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 46.5N  60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 55.0N  58.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N  71.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 21/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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