Hurricane Fiona Forecast Advisory Number 17

By | September 18, 2022

000
WTNT22 KNHC 181452
TCMAT2

HURRICANE FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
1500 UTC SUN SEP 18 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS IS DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* THE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO CAUCEDO TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO
WESTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO
WESTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABO CAUCEDO TO
BARAHONA
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG
CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  66.5W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  66.5W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  66.1W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.9N  67.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.9N  68.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.3N  69.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.8N  70.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 23.2N  70.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 24.6N  70.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 28.5N  69.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 34.8N  64.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  66.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 18/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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