Hurricane Earl Forecast Advisory Number 30

By | September 10, 2022

000
WTNT21 KNHC 100840
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062022
0900 UTC SAT SEP 10 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N  53.5W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  30 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE  80SE  50SW  30NW.
50 KT.......110NE 180SE 110SW 180NW.
34 KT.......220NE 360SE 350SW 320NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 540SE 600SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N  53.5W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N  54.3W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 43.2N  52.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 180NW.
34 KT...270NE 360SE 330SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 44.1N  51.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 300SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 44.5N  50.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 270SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 44.7N  50.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 210SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 44.8N  48.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE 150SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 44.7N  46.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  90SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 44.9N  41.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 45.3N  37.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.2N  53.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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